On February 22, the wait will be over. The CrossFit Games 2012 will be officially underway. Given that 26,000 athletes participated in the 2011 games, I estimate that the total registrations in 2012 will top 40,000. If you haven’t already done so, you can register here. Bob Harper from The Biggest Loser says that he has signed up:
Over a five week period, these 40,000 athletes will compete to qualify for the next round, the regionals. Each of 17 regions worldwide will host the top 60 men and the top 60 women for a three-workout weekend sometime between April 27, 2012 and May 27, 2012. If my math is correct, this would mean that about 5% of the competitors will advance from the open to the regionals.
Each of the regionals will advance the top three men and the top three women to the finals which will be held at the Home Depot Center in Carson, California July 13-15. This year the prize money for the top male and the top female will be the same as 2011, $250,000 each.
Who Will Win the CrossFit Games 2012?
In speaking with several 2011 games finalists, I am struck by how they have approached this season with plans similar to other professional athletes. Most athletes have a periodized training program which has them peaking at the right times and they aren’t mindlessly working on main site metcons. They are identifying specific weaknesses and are taking steps to improve. For example, Chris Spealler has added approximately 10lbs of muscle – this should yield a big dividend during the strength components of the workouts.
Barring injury, I would expect 80% of the finalists from last year to return to the Home Depot Center in July. I mean, it’s not like the NCAA basketball tournament where a single great game or one miracle shot can mean a sixteen seed knocks out a number one.
Do you think that a new competitor has a legitimate chance of a) making the finals and b) being on the podium?
With respect to the women, I think Annie Thorisdottir is extremely likely to repeat. As for the men, I don’t believe Rich Froning will be at the top this year.
How about you? Any thoughts/opinions about who will win?
And how about you? Have you entered yet?